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2011年03 期
| 标题 |
| 铁路货运量预测风险分析及概率树评价法的应用(29 卷) |
| 英文标题 |
| Risk Analysis on Forecast of Railway Freight Traffic Volume and Application of Fault Tree Evaluation Method |
| 摘要 |
| 对铁路货运量预测中的风险因素进行分析，阐明货运量预测风险分析的意义。介绍铁路货运量预测的风险分析方法主要有定性分析法与定量分析法，讨论定量分析法之一的概率树评价法在控制铁路货运量预测潜在风险中的应用，通过算例说明利用概率树评价法能够有效降低各种不确定因素 |
| 作者 |
| 新闻作者:郑 辉 |
| 关键字 |
