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2010年12 期
| 标题 |
| Holt-Winters模型在铁路货运量预测中的应用(28 卷) |
| 英文标题 |
| Application of Holt-Winters Model on Forecast of Railway Freight Traffic Volume |
| 摘要 |
| 铁路货运量的预测结果直接影响到铁路运输计划及有关运输政策的制定。通过提出基于Holt-Winters的铁路货运量预测模型，介绍了平滑系数α、β、γ的选取及初始平滑因子、递推计算过程等关键预测环节，并对该预测模型设计了相应的算法，最后利用实例验证了Holt-Winters预测方法 |
| 作者 |
| 新闻作者:丁 源1，于 波 |
| 关键字 |
